05 Nov 2025
23m

The Benefits of Bubbles

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Stratechery

The AI bubble serves as a vital catalyst for technological progress rather than merely a precursor to economic collapse. By facilitating massive, coordinated investment, bubbles enable the "installation phase" of new infrastructure, mirroring the dot-com era’s fiber-optic build-out. Current AI-driven spending is uniquely addressing critical bottlenecks in power generation and domestic semiconductor manufacturing, areas previously hindered by risk aversion and stagnation. Byrne Hobart, co-author of *Boom! Bubbles and the End of Stagnation*, argues that these speculative manias provide the necessary financial and cognitive capacity to bootstrap disruptive innovations. While individual companies may face bankruptcy, the resulting physical and technological assets—such as expanded power grids and advanced chip-making capabilities—create long-term value that persists long after the bubble pops, ultimately overcoming the societal risk intolerance that characterizes modern economic stagnation.

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