
Luke Gromen - FFTT, LLC
The Forest For The Trees is an in-depth research service provider for institutional and individual investors. We are focused on aggregating macroeconomic and thematic trends from many different industry verticals in an unconventional manner, with a particular eye towards recognizing investable developing economic bottlenecks for our customers. Our serious contrarian streak, ability to find and succinctly summarize the most critical pieces of information on a given topic, study of economic history and objective observation of key economic actors and events provides our customers a unique view of the world that adds significant value to their investment process.
Episodes


Medium-to-long term thoughts on LT USTs, etc.
US debt sustainability and the resulting macroeconomic pressures define the current financial landscape, where 120% debt-to-GDP ratios severely constrain policy flexibility. While long-term Treasury bonds may offer nominal value, persistent dollar devaluation makes gold and Bitcoin more attractive for real returns. Rai...

Some quick thoughts on gold, BTC, and "my framework"

Japan intervention reconfirms that NIIP matters greatly.
Explicit yield curve control is the inevitable destination for Western nations as they struggle to manage unsustainable sovereign debt levels without triggering defaults. The current US net international investment position forces a choice between increasing dollar supply or witnessing foreign liquidation of Treasury a...

“Invert. Always Invert.” – Charlie Munger

Some thoughts on BTC and silver

Why is there zero correlation between UST supplies and LT interest rates going back 100 years?

The T-Bill “treadmill”, and Brazil joins “oil for gold”

Has gold peaked? Our thoughts.

Gold as BRICS net settlement asset; “run it hot” implications

How Straumann’s book “1931” compares to today’s situation, etc.

“By 2021, the US will no longer have choices” & Gold/Commodity Ratio discussion

Why did POTUS reverse course on gold tariffs?

Is “Nothing Stops This Train” becoming consensus? (No, IMO.)

Highest probability trigger for a risk-off event; thoughts on gold-backed bonds

Why I think gold/oil ratio will go to 100+ over time
The podcast addresses listener questions on macroeconomic and geopolitical themes. Luke Gromen predicts the gold-to-oil ratio will rise to 100x and stay there, driven by a shift away from the petrodollar system and the need for an alternative reserve asset. He argues that unlike boosting factory output, increasing cons...

Thoughts on the odds of deflation, home prices during financial repression

Strategies to mitigate cognitive biases; Japan bond market thoughts

Why is high debt different now v. prior instances of people “fear-mongering” about the debt?

Trade war; equity markets; 4th Turning; gold
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