
The US bond market faces a critical "battle for capital" as the federal government and major technology companies simultaneously ramp up borrowing to record levels. With national debt reaching $40 trillion and Big Tech aggressively funding AI infrastructure, these two entities are competing for a finite pool of investor capital, driving borrowing costs to levels not seen since major historical crises. This competition threatens to trigger a debt-death spiral, where rising interest payments erode fiscal stability. To avoid default, the government will likely resort to currency debasement—a strategy of financial repression similar to the 1940s—to artificially cap yields. While this approach may lower borrowing costs, it risks significant erosion of the US dollar's purchasing power, potentially fueling a "reverse stock market crash" where financial assets appreciate while the real value of savings and wages declines.
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