
The U.S. government faces an accelerating fiscal crisis as its debt burden reaches $40 trillion, forcing interest payments to consume a record 20% of tax revenue. Institutional investors, known as bond vigilantes, are driving up long-term yields to compensate for fiscal instability, signaling a lack of trust in current spending trajectories. With the average interest rate on debt projected to exceed GDP growth by 2030, the government approaches an unmanageable threshold. To prevent a total budget squeeze, the Federal Reserve is positioning itself to implement financial repression, printing money to purchase government bonds and suppress yields. This strategy mirrors the post-WWII era, where artificially low rates and high inflation eroded the purchasing power of the dollar, highlighting the systemic risks to major asset classes and the necessity for strategic portfolio adjustments to navigate this environment.
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