In this interview, Nicolai Tangen speaks with Sir David Spiegelhalter, a renowned statistician, about human psychology in relation to risk and uncertainty. Spiegelhalter emphasizes that people need to live with uncertainty, even if they claim otherwise, and highlights the importance of understanding statistics for making informed decisions, particularly in public discourse. He criticizes the disregard for evidence in politics and social media, citing examples such as vaccine misinformation and tariff policies. Reflecting on the COVID-19 pandemic, Spiegelhalter underscores the critical role of data and its clear communication. He also shares his personal experience with prostate cancer, discussing the challenges of predicting survival prospects based on available data and expressing hope for advancements in treatment and data collection.
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