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Oil Remains Primary Risk Driving Higher Rates Says Haworth

Yen Declines After BOJ Hike, US Said to Hold Off on New China Tariffs

Fed Hikes, Warsh's Credibility, Credit Concerns | Real Yield 9/17/2026

The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis point rate hike signals a firm commitment to curbing inflation, marking the start of a new tightening cycle. While bond yields have risen, providing a significant cushion for fixed-income investors, the market faces uncertainty regarding the terminal rate and the duration of res...

Yardeni on Cutting His S&P Outlook, Fed, Oil Prices

Bill Dudley Calls Fed’s 25-Basis-Point Hike ‘Too Small’

Saudi Oil Pipeline Nears Restart as Houthi Tensions Rise

Global markets are reacting to the Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point interest rate hike, a move intended to bolster credibility and address persistent inflation. While the hike stabilizes investor sentiment, concerns persist regarding the potential for policy errors, as current inflationary pressures are prima...

Apollo’s Zelter on AI Capex, ‘Higher for a While’ Rates

The unprecedented scale of the AI infrastructure build-out demands a diverse range of capital, prompting Apollo Global Management to prioritize debt financing over equity to maintain a margin of safety. By targeting resilient, low-obsolescence assets—such as sports franchises like the Yankees and aviation infrastructur...

Context Will Be Curve Play If Fed Hikes: Markets Analysis

The Treasury market is currently defined by extreme bearishness and large short positions as investors anticipate the Federal Reserve's next policy move. While yields recently touched the 5% threshold, a failed breakthrough suggests risks are now asymmetrically skewed toward a potential decline in long-end yields. Mark...

Houthi Threat Grows as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Hits Oil

Global financial markets are bracing for a Federal Reserve rate hike, with investors anticipating a move to reinforce policy credibility amid persistent inflationary pressures and rising Treasury yields. Geopolitical instability in the Middle East, particularly intensified Houthi attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure,...

Fed Has to Put Up or Shut Up, Says DoubleLine's Sherman

The 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5% signals a global rejection of long-term sovereign debt rather than a localized U.S. phenomenon. Persistent inflation, driven by elevated service-sector input costs and a robust capital expenditure boom, necessitates a more restrictive Federal Reserve policy to regain credibility. ...

Everything Is Now Bullish for Treasuries

The potential slowdown or bursting of the AI capital expenditure (CapEx) bubble represents a momentous shift in global markets, threatening the primary driver of U.S. GDP and international stock performance over the last two years. A retraction in AI investment would likely trigger a significant downturn in economic gr...

Why Solar Power Is Overwhelming Europe’s Grid

Europe’s rapid expansion of solar energy has reached a critical juncture, where record-breaking capacity often exceeds grid absorption, leading to price cannibalization and negative wholesale electricity rates. While government incentives have successfully fueled this solar boom, the resulting supply-demand mismatch ne...

CPI Sets Up ‘Risk Management Hikes’ for Fed, Pimco’s Wilding Says

The Federal Reserve is likely to implement gradual interest rate hikes to manage persistent inflation and maintain institutional credibility amidst ongoing global supply shocks. Current market pricing reflects a cumulative 75 basis point increase, effectively reversing previous rate cuts. Unlike the inflationary enviro...

Jeff Currie on ‘Dangerous Phase’ of Commodities Rally, $5 Gasoline

Global commodity markets are undergoing a structural shift as shortages move upstream from refined products to crude oil. China’s aggressive return to the market, coupled with severe global supply chain bottlenecks—including the Red Sea, Black Sea, and Panama Canal—has created a demand-pull effect that is driving up pr...

Oil Surges as Houthi-Saudi Fighting Escalates, Iran Braces for Long War

US Yields Surge, Calling Bessent's Bluff | Real Yield 9/10/2026

Surging oil prices and persistent inflation fears are driving global bond yields to multi-year highs, forcing a re-evaluation of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Brent crude’s climb toward $107 per barrel intensifies pressure on the Treasury market, where yields on the 10-year and 30-year notes have reached levels ...

CVC Marathon's Richards Says Equities Can Absorb 25 Bps Fed Hike (Correct)

The Federal Reserve faces a critical decision regarding interest rate hikes as inflation persists above the 3% mark for the 66th consecutive month. Chairman Jerome Powell may find himself in the unprecedented position of being overruled by his committee, as a majority of the twelve members appear inclined to raise rate...

Bathla Crisis Exposes Australia's Property Lending Risks

The insolvency of Australian property developer Bathla Group, which owes US$2.5 billion to creditors, highlights significant vulnerabilities within Australia's A$200 billion private credit market. This crisis reveals a fragmented lending landscape where standards vary widely across 43 different lenders, ranging from ma...

Investors Turn to Emerging Market Debt Amid Yield Volatility | Insight with Haslinda Amin 9/7/2026

Global energy markets face renewed volatility following tanker strikes in the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude prices toward the $100 threshold and heightening risks for global trade. Simultaneously, China is implementing its largest bank recapitalization in two decades, injecting $54 billion to bolster financial stabil...

Trump Demands Rate Cut After Jobs Report

President Trump is intensifying pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates following a robust jobs report that added 162,000 positions in August. While the administration touts this growth, concerns persist regarding labor force participation and inflation, with markets reacting to potential rate hikes. Simu...