Forward Guidance

Blockworks Acquires Messari

Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup

Centralized asset management and geopolitical maneuvering are driving extreme market volatility, as systematic funds and CTAs react to shifting inflationary expectations and Fed policy. The current environment reflects a "K-shaped" recovery where massive capital expenditure by hyperscalers fuels an AI-driven boom, whil...

Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen

The US economy faces a critical juncture where the Federal Reserve must choose between sacrificing the dollar or the bond market. Kevin Warsh’s upcoming leadership at the Fed represents a pivotal moment to address unsustainable debt levels and the failure of the "disinflationary growth" narrative. The ongoing conflict ...

Why This Economy Refuses To Break | David Cervantes

The current macroeconomic environment remains resilient, fueled by a massive, trillion-dollar AI infrastructure build-out and record government deficits that effectively prevent recession. David Cervantes of Pinebrook Capital argues that these capital inflows, combined with a shift in corporate strategy from supply cha...

How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup

Current market euphoria masks a deepening K-shaped economic divide, where aggressive policy interventions and passive investment flows artificially prop up asset prices at the expense of Main Street. While the AI productivity boom offers genuine long-term economic potential, it simultaneously exacerbates wealth inequal...

Can The AI Driven Rally Continue? | Weekly Roundup

Rising sovereign bond yields and persistent inflation are creating a precarious environment for the broader economy, even as equity markets remain buoyed by AI-driven capital expenditure and fiscal intervention. The current market landscape exhibits a stark divergence: while consumer-facing sectors and retail ETFs show...

The Consumer Cushion Is Almost Gone | Weekly Roundup

The Fed Is Losing Its Easing Bias While AI Props Up The Economy | Neil Dutta

Oil And AI Are Breaking The Middle Class | Weekly Roundup

Passive Easing Is Fueling The Next Inflation Wave | Danny Dayan

Central Bank Control Is Breaking | Weekly Roundup

The AI Bubble Is Widely Misunderstood | Steve Hou

The AI investment cycle functions as a sustained, high-magnitude capital expenditure wave rather than a transient speculative bubble. This massive build-out of data centers and compute infrastructure has provided a critical cushion for the U.S. economy, offsetting the cooling effects of recent interest rate hikes. Whil...

The Fed Is Irrelevant While CapEx Runs The Economy | Weekly Roundup

Markets Are Misreading A Late Cycle Liquidity Crunch | Michael Howell

Market Structure is Fueling an Inflation Trap | Weekly Roundup

How the World’s Biggest Macro Hedge Funds Are Using AI | Jan Szilagyi

AI is fundamentally transforming financial analysis by enabling multidimensional synthesis, allowing investors to connect disparate data points—from commodity supply shocks to corporate valuations—at unprecedented speeds. Reflexivity, an AI software firm, utilizes a proprietary knowledge graph to bridge the gap between...

Markets Are Trapped Between Geopolitical Chaos and AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup

Market participants are currently debating the sustainability of the recent S&P 500 rally against a backdrop of geopolitical instability and shifting macroeconomic indicators. While some argue that the market is overextended given the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz and persistent inflationary pressures, othe...

The Iran War is Accelerating the End of Globalism | Jacob Shapiro

Why AI Will Reprice The Entire Economy | Jordi Visser

Market Structure is Distorting Reality as Inflation Builds | Weekly Roundup