Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI. Expect rigorous analysis and a few hot takes, but no spin and no false sense of certainty. New episodes drop every Wednesday evening wherever you get your podcasts, or subscribe at youtube.com/@stillcountingpodcast
The midterm election landscape remains defined by steady Democratic advantages in the Senate and House, as tracked by the Flipper forecast model. Despite the national environment, unexpected competitiveness in red-state races like South Carolina highlights potential shifts in voter turnout and candidate quality. Pollin...
The 2026 midterm election landscape remains defined by a significant Democratic lead in Senate and House forecasts, though the reliance on polling data faces scrutiny due to potential regional errors and the emergence of fabricated research. Campaigns have adopted a "mutually assured destruction" advertising strategy, ...
The 2026 midterm election landscape shows a stable, if not plateauing, advantage for Democrats, with the House forecast at 93% and the Senate at 73%. While material concerns like gas prices and inflation dominate voter sentiment, the current political environment lacks the "shock to the conscience" moments seen in 2018...
The current political landscape shows Democrats holding a steady advantage in Senate and House forecasts, with recent polling data indicating a consistent lead since Labor Day. While Republicans shift resources toward traditionally safe states, the Minnesota Senate race highlights potential vulnerabilities for Democrat...
Midterm election forecasting reveals a shifting political landscape, with Democratic prospects strengthening in the House and Senate as polling data indicates a potential surge in voter enthusiasm. The "Flipper" model currently projects a significant advantage for Democrats, likely driven by economic pressures and a de...
Midterm election polling indicates a potential shift in voter sentiment, with Democrats showing unexpected strength in key battleground states. This trend suggests a possible "blue wave" as voters react to the current political climate, including high inflation, fuel prices, and the perceived overreach of the Trump-ali...
Democrats currently hold a stronger position in the upcoming midterm elections, with recent polling—including the New York Times-Siena College survey—showing them leading the generic ballot by approximately eight points among likely voters. While economic concerns, specifically inflation and the cost of living, remain ...
The midterm election cycle presents a highly polarized landscape where Democratic and Republican strategies diverge significantly. Nate Silver’s "Flipper" model currently projects a split Senate outcome, highlighting the critical role of candidate quality and local enthusiasm in key states like Michigan and North Carol...
The political landscape faces significant shifts as traditional party structures weaken and new, unpredictable dynamics emerge. Data-driven analysis remains essential for navigating these changes, particularly as the electorate becomes increasingly polarized and disillusioned with the two-party system. Key drivers of t...
Follow this podcast in Podwise
Sign in to get AI summaries, transcripts and mind maps for any episode, including new ones.
