www.crowdedmarketreport.com - Join the CMR community for direct interaction with Jason. You will also receive a weekly report, weekly charts not found anywhere else, a weekly COT index, and access to a private Discord server that is active seven days a week. Our goal is to help viewers learn more about trading, risk management and what it truly means to be contrarian. The Video series will include highlights from our weekly Crowded Market Report, educational videos and general commentary on the markets. Our motto is "slow road to the rich house" so if you are looking for get-rich-quick advice, you are at the wrong channel. 30+ years of trading experience, hedge fund manager, and featured in Jack Schwager's latest book: Unknown Market Wizards. Chapter 2 - The Contrarian. Disclaimer: This is not trading advice. Videos posted on this channel are for educational purposes only.
Market resilience is currently confined to a narrow group of AI-driven stocks, while broader indices like the Dow and Russell remain in a clear downtrend. Despite the PCE inflation data appearing favorable, the bond market continues to struggle, proving that attempting to "buy the dip" against prevailing price action i...
High demand for capital, fueled by persistent government deficits and massive AI infrastructure projects, is driving interest rates upward and challenging traditional economic expectations. While market participants previously anticipated that Fed rate hikes would flatten the yield curve, recent trends show both short-...
Trading success relies on maintaining a disciplined, process-driven approach rather than reacting to market noise or emotional impulses. Natural gas price action demonstrates that traders must adhere to stop-loss levels defined by their initial entry thesis, as short-term volatility often triggers premature exits. Simi...
Fed Day triggered a volatile market response, with an initial rally following the 25-basis-point rate hike quickly collapsing as the tone proved hawkish. The bond market remains the primary source of instability, as the 10-year Treasury closed on new lows, signaling that interest rate hikes are failing to curb borrowin...
Financial markets are currently showing signs of instability, marked by rising crude oil prices, declining bond values, and a broad sell-off in metals like gold and silver. This volatility reflects a deteriorating macroeconomic environment, exacerbated by fiscal mismanagement and ineffective political posturing. While ...
Successful trading requires a rigorous, data-driven approach that treats market participation as a game of probability rather than a quest for a "magic formula." Jeremiah, a member of the CMR community, demonstrates how applying statistical analysis—derived from his background in poker and prediction markets—allows tra...
Financial markets are exhibiting significant instability, as evidenced by persistent weakness in fixed income and a disconnect between asset performance and economic narratives. Bond markets are hitting new lows, signaling a lack of confidence in the current fiat system, while large-cap tech stocks—particularly those t...
The Korean stock market is undergoing a critical transition, moving beyond its reliance on semiconductor giants like Samsung and SK Hynix toward a broader, more modern financial landscape. Central to this evolution is the shift from confrontational "Shareholder Activism 1.0" to a "2.0" approach, which emphasizes constr...
Market positioning and price action—the "tape"—consistently provide more reliable signals than headline news events. Recent volatility triggered by SK Hynix’s stock buyback and Treasury bond purchase announcements underscores this dynamic, as markets often react to news in ways that contradict fundamental expectations....
Rationalization acts as a significant psychological barrier that prevents traders from learning, changing, and effectively managing risk. By creating excuses to avoid emotional discomfort or the pain of looking foolish, individuals often fail to cut losses, clinging to losing positions instead of admitting error. This ...
The August 12, 2026, CPI data release triggered a positive initial market reaction, yet the Dow Jones Industrial Average remains the most vulnerable index due to crowded positioning and a deteriorating technical chart. While the Dow presents a viable short opportunity, betting against the Nasdaq or AI-related equities ...
Earnings failures provide a contrarian trading opportunity by highlighting discrepancies between corporate news and market price action. When a stock fails to sustain a move following an earnings report—gapping in one direction only to reverse—it signals that the prevailing sentiment is exhausted and the risk-reward ra...
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