Iran War Expert: If This Escalation Continues, 2027 Will Be Devastating! | Prof Robert Pape

The next eight weeks constitute a uniquely dangerous period for global stability, driven by the convergence of the US midterm transition, the Iran war, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Political scientist Robert Pape argues that the US is caught in an "escalation trap," where military strikes against Iran produce tactical gains but strategic failures, ultimately strengthening the adversary. Simultaneously, "violent populism" in the United States—where millions support political violence—threatens domestic stability during the transfer of power. As Putin faces potential failure in Ukraine, he is expected to intensify attacks on civilian infrastructure, risking a wider conflict. To mitigate these risks, Pape proposes three critical "firebreaks": a congressional moratorium on escalation in Iran, a pause on the deployment of federal agents in US cities, and an international agreement to cease the direct targeting of civilian infrastructure.