Bassiri Tabrizi: US Iran Moving Further Apart in Talks

The diplomatic impasse between the United States and Iran is deepening as both nations remain deadlocked over the nuclear program and security in the Strait of Hormuz. Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi, an Associate Fellow at Chatham House, observes that while both sides desire an agreement, they are moving further apart due to conflicting priorities: Iran seeks trade agreements and security guarantees first, while the US demands immediate nuclear concessions and zero enrichment. The resumption of oil exports to near pre-war levels has further complicated the US strategic position. Without significant compromises from both parties, the current stalemate is unsustainable and risks spiraling into renewed hostilities. This volatility is exacerbated by a "wait and see" approach regarding upcoming Israeli and US midterm elections, which increases the potential for miscalculations and tit-for-tat military escalations similar to those witnessed earlier in the year.