Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.

Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.

Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.

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