
Grappling with US fiscal deficits and debt: Understanding the implications at home and abroad
Peterson Institute for International Economics
U.S. fiscal deficits and debt are reaching unsustainable levels, with debt-to-GDP ratios projected to hit 120% within a decade. This trajectory is driven by an aging population, rising interest costs, and significant revenue losses from tax cuts. While fiscal adjustments are essential, political polarization and voter apathy prevent meaningful reform, leaving the U.S. vulnerable to future economic shocks. Experts suggest that stabilizing the debt requires a combination of entitlement reform, particularly for Social Security and Medicare, and structural changes to the tax code to curb corporate tax avoidance. Furthermore, climate change and geopolitical instability exacerbate these fiscal pressures, necessitating a more proactive policy approach. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse advocates for fundamental budget committee reform and addressing tax expenditures to restore fiscal health, warning that inaction risks severe long-term consequences for both domestic economic stability and the global financial order.
Part 1: Global Context, U.S. Debt
Part 2: European Outlook, Market Risks
Part 3: Institutional Reform, Tax Policy
Part 4: Climate, Systemic Risks
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