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11 Sept 2026
11m

Why the Middle-Class Squeeze Is Getting Worse

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Thoughts on the Market

The K-shaped economy creates divergent financial realities for households, where traditional income-based definitions of the middle class fail to capture the growing importance of asset accumulation and fixed costs. While economists define the middle class by income brackets, households increasingly measure security through milestones like homeownership, childcare affordability, and emergency savings. Essential costs—specifically shelter, childcare, and healthcare—have outpaced inflation and income growth, making financial stability harder to achieve. Furthermore, the rise of artificial intelligence introduces new variables; while high-income earners face potential job displacement, they also stand to benefit from AI-driven asset market gains and eventual disinflation in service sectors. Ultimately, wealth concentration in equities and real estate, rather than labor income alone, now dictates the widening gap between the middle class and the top wealth percentiles.

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