How Many Narrow AIs Could Behave Like One Superintelligence - Daniel Kokotajlo and Thomas Larsen

The "AI 2040 Plan A" scenario outlines a strategic framework for managing the transition to superintelligence by prioritizing safety, transparency, and international cooperation. By implementing a temporary pause to establish verification infrastructure, nations can pace AI development at human-expert levels, buying critical time to solve alignment problems before triggering uncontrollable intelligence explosions. This approach shifts reliance from purely behavioral control to fundamental interpretability, ensuring that systems remain aligned as they scale. The discussion emphasizes that AI is evolving into a "human in the cloud" capability, necessitating a move away from monopolized development toward commoditized, transparent research. Ultimately, the goal is to prevent existential risks like global conflict and loss of control by fostering a collaborative, verifiable environment where AI development remains within manageable, human-aligned parameters.