The crypto market is experiencing a significant energy shift driven by macro factors and seller exhaustion, signaling the end of the bear cycle. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s recent interventions, including bond buybacks and potential Treasury General Account usage, highlight the ongoing tension between fiscal policy and rising capital costs, exacerbated by the AI sector’s massive capital consumption. While Coinbase’s entry into tokenized stocks aims to bridge traditional and digital finance, current demand remains focused on derivatives and perpetuals rather than spot assets. Meanwhile, the Ethena Foundation’s restructuring—buying out early sellers and implementing a fee switch—serves as a potential model for improving token value accrual. As AI continues to demand trillions in capital, the long-term outlook remains bullish despite inevitable volatility and potential regulatory friction, reinforcing the broader trend toward the debasement trade and crypto’s role as a hedge.
Part 1: Market Shifts, Macroeconomics
Part 2: On-Chain Assets, Infrastructure
Part 3: Institutional Adoption, AI Future
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