I usually try to make posts with graphs and numbers, or at least something more than just opinions and anecdotes. This one is not like that.

Very verbose disclaimer: I have never met - for any reasonable definition of the word met, including online-only conversations on Discord with people who's faces I don't know - even a single person who has ever stated, orally or in text, publicly or in private, that they believe ASI will be created within their lifetime. I do know people who believe that ASI is possible to create in theory, but they believe it will be completely unrelated to LLMs, Transformers, neural networks, reinforcement learning or any other contemporary technique/architecture, and is 100/1000/some astronomical number of years away.

Ok, with that out of the way, here's the main point of this post: AI will soon (3 to 10 years, depending on which advancements exactly we're talking about) be solving Millennium math problems, finding cures for many diseases, making novel bioweapons, making most software, hacking a lot of software, and much more, and most people won't be impressed or even will be disappointed.

(we'll leave aside the question of whether in the long run there [...]

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First published:
August 9th, 2026

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BbtXWgYviwGHExcJv/the-world-will-be-full-of-sci-fi-things-and-everyone-will-be

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“The world will be full of “sci-fi” things, and everyone will be bored and disappointed” by Expertium

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“The world will be full of “sci-fi” things, and everyone will be bored and disappointed” by Expertium