Donald Trump’s foreign policy operates through a transactional, situational framework rather than a coherent ideological doctrine. Trump views international relations as a series of one-on-one negotiations where leverage is determined by trade deficits and perceived national strength. His decision to engage in conflict with Iran stems from a long-standing, deeply held belief that the regime is uniquely dangerous and prone to using nuclear weapons, a stance that distinguishes him from many of his own advisors. While Trump often relies on gut instincts and is highly responsive to successful military operations, his inner circle frequently suffers from "magical thinking" and a lack of diverse perspectives, leading to limited strategic planning. Meanwhile, his approach to China remains fluid, characterized by a willingness to treat Taiwan as a bargaining chip while simultaneously responding to external pressure when faced with significant economic leverage.
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