I want to give you a combat assessment of what is actually happening in the Strait of Hormuz right now. This is an active war. The United States has 20 warships and hundreds of aircraft in the region. We have struck over 300 Iranian military targets in three nights. And Iran is still shooting back. So let me break down what each side has, what each side has lost, and — critically — what Iran has actually hit versus what they’re claiming they hit.

SPONSOR: BRUNT Workwear

BRUNT Workwear builds boots and gear for tradesmen that are tough as hell but comfortable the second you pull them out of the box, with zero break-in. Every product is named after a real tradesman who helped design it, and the limited-edition America's 250th collection is available this July while supplies last.

Use code NICK for $10 off plus a risk-free trial at https://www.BRUNTworkwear.com/Nick

-----

GET YOUR MERCH HERE: https://shop.nickjfreitas.com/

BECOME A MEMBER OF THE IC: https://NickJFreitas.com

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nickjfreitas/

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NickFreitasVA

Twitter: https://twitter.com/NickJFreitas

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Nickjfreitas

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@nickjfreitas3.0

00:00:00 – Intro

00:01:23 – Three carrier strike groups: the US naval buildup

00:02:41 – What's been hit: 300+ targets across three nights

00:04:28 – A military first: unmanned surface vessels in combat

00:05:56 – Iran's only real leverage

00:07:15 – Scoring Iran's claims: the battle damage assessment

00:10:01 – Confirmed: the precision hit on Al Udeid's comms terminal

00:12:23 – Debunked: the claimed strikes on US destroyers

00:13:58 – Contested: the missile attack on Jordan's air base

00:15:54 – Unverified: the strike on US naval logistics in Oman

00:16:56 – Confirmed: Iranian drones are hitting commercial shipping

00:20:05 – The Tet Offensive effect: attacks as messaging

00:22:51 – Iran's playbook: the IRGC mosquito fleet

00:24:33 – The blockade: how long can Iran keep the strait closed?

00:26:51 – Iran's ultimate strategy

00:30:40 – What real regime change would actually require

00:33:10 – Best case vs likely case: the midterm clock

00:41:08 – Democrats block the defense bill

00:43:41 – The honest concerns: strategic, tactical, political

Combat Assessment: What’s Actually Happening in the Strait of Hormuz

Making the Argument with Nick Freitas

Combat Assessment: What’s Actually Happening in the Strait of Hormuz