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09 Jul 2026
50m

Ep. 018 - Stop Saying Half of 2026 US Datacenter Capacity Is Canceled (Datacenter, Energy) | Jeremie Eliahou Ontiveros, Reyk Knuhtsen, Ellie Holbrook, Jordan Nanos

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SemiAnalysis Weekly

Media reports claiming that half of projected 2026 US data center capacity is canceled misinterpret early-stage project volatility as systemic failure. In reality, the industry is experiencing a strategic pivot toward behind-the-meter power generation to bypass grid interconnection bottlenecks, with forecasts projecting 40 gigawatts of new capacity by 2028. While high-profile projects like Oracle’s Project Jupiter face significant permitting and infrastructure delays, these hurdles represent execution challenges rather than a market contraction. Hyperscalers and AI labs continue to drive massive capital investment, fueling a diverse power generation supply chain that increasingly incorporates automotive-derived engines and varied energy technologies. Ultimately, the shift toward self-contained power solutions provides developers with greater control over deployment timelines, ensuring that the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure remains on track despite regional regulatory and logistical constraints.

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