(Previously, previously, previously.)

20–21 August 2025

From: Zack M. Davis
To: Cade Metz
CC: Benjamin Hoffman, Jessica Taylor, Michael Vassar
Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2025 14:18:53 -0700
Subject: the importance of probabilistic reasoning

Dear Cade (cc Ben Michael Jessica):

I think I failed to explain the substance of the Sequences to you—and really, not the Sequences themselves, but the underlying philosophical insights they popularized. I want to try again, because I think it's important to the book you're writing. You want to tell the story of how this internet ideology that no one has heard of has been a driving force in the shadows behind the people making DeepMind and OpenAI and Anthropic, which everyone has heard of. But in order to tell the story of the people, you need to understand enough of the ideology to make sense of why the ideology has affected these people in this way.

In our conversations and in your coverage, you've focused on the analogy between religion and belief in the singularity, but I don't think that's an adequate explanation of what's going on in these people's heads. In our 21 March and 22 April conversations, you [...]

---

Outline:

(00:17) 20-21 August 2025

(15:07) 2. October 2025

---

First published:
July 2nd, 2026

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MNRZL69FWkjNABd3T/conversation-among-cade-metz-michael-vassar-jessica-taylor

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“Conversation Among Cade Metz, Michael Vassar, Jessica Taylor, and Zack M. Davis” by Zack_M_Davis

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“Conversation Among Cade Metz, Michael Vassar, Jessica Taylor, and Zack M. Davis” by Zack_M_Davis