What actually happens to your portfolio when the world feels like it's on fire? In this episode, Hayden and Dave look back at how share markets have responded to major global conflicts, from WWI and WWII through to COVID, and what that history can teach us about investing through periods of fear and uncertainty.

They walk through the data most people have never seen: markets that fell sharply in the first six months of a war, only to roar back stronger than before it began. It's a timely reminder that the instinct to act during a crisis isn't always the one that serves us best.

They cover:

👉 How the US and Australian share markets actually performed during WWI and WWII, including the sharp falls and surprising recoveries

👉 What 31 wars across 130 years of market data reveal about how long downturns really last

👉 Why war tends to be inflationary in a way that's different to a typical recession, and what that means for share prices

👉 How governments have historically intervened in markets during wartime, and where COVID fits into that picture

👉 Why 24/7 news and social media might be making market volatility feel worse than it actually is

👉 The case for sticking to dollar-cost averaging and diversification even when the headlines are dark

At its core, investing through conflict is a bet on humanity's ability to find its way through. A look at history that might just change how you think about the next crisis, whatever it turns out to be.

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Disclaimer

Any advice is general and does not consider your financial situation needs, or objectives, so consider whether it’s appropriate for you. You should also consider seeking professional advice before making any financial decision.

Pearler is an Authorised Representative #1281540 of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd AFSL #337927. Read the FSG available from https://pearler.com/financial-services-guide

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79. Should war change how you invest?

Aussie FIRE | Financial Independence Retire Early

79. Should war change how you invest?