🧭 MSTR True North episode 52: The crew discusses Bitcoin, digital credit, and MSTR’s capital structure. Tune in to hear analysis on leverage, mNAV, yield curve control and macro deficits, plus Ray Dalio’s gold vs Bitcoin view and why credit drives demand.

🎛️ As of this recording, 1/21/26, Strategy's (MSTR) performance: Open: $161.27 Close: $163.81 Volume: 18,440,820 Shares mNAV: 1.07 Market Cap: $54.09B U.S. Market Cap Ranking: #201 BTC: 709,715

⏱️ TIMESTAMPS & INSIGHTS:

00:00:00 - Intro: NFA, agenda and True North overview

00:02:09 - Stretch price behavior: Volatility compression versus Bitcoin

00:04:18 - Balance sheet strategy: 1x mNAV and ATM expansion logic

00:06:49 - Capital structure model: Bitcoin, equity, credit flywheel

00:09:43 - Yield curve control: Variable dividend preferred mechanics

00:11:07 - Supply discipline approach: Peg defense and issuance limits

00:13:30 - Rate cut asymmetry: Falling rates boost credit spread

00:15:27 - TN event: join the crew in Las Vegas

00:16:51 - Fiscal dominance reality: Structural US deficit regime

00:20:05 - Monetary financing loop: Deficits force money creation

00:23:10 - Debt compounding risk: Interest burden and debasement cycle

00:26:46 - Product market fit: Stretch outperforming other credit tools

00:29:37 - Fiscal responsibility debate: Fed, deficits, real rate risk

00:32:17 - Bitcoin-backed credit thesis: Alternative to sovereign bonds

00:34:10 - Capital raise capacity: ATM runway and mNAV leverage

00:36:33 - mNAV leverage durability: Dividend funding in bear markets

00:38:17 - Global macro signal: Japan rates and carry trade unwind

00:43:34 - Generational capital shift: Exiting legacy financial assets

00:45:33 - Ray Dalio perspective: Bitcoin versus gold debate

00:48:45 - Macro landing scenarios: Debasement versus crisis outcomes

00:53:00 - Bitcoin moat math: Relative ownership and scarcity

00:56:17 - Convert dilution dynamics: Delta hedging fade thesis

00:57:06 - Bull case modeling: Million Bitcoin accumulation path

00:59:30 - Long-term supply capture: 2035 Bitcoin ownership projection

01:03:01 - MNAV upside bounds: Convert structure constraints

01:04:30 - Final thoughts

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MSTR TRUE NORTH LINKS:

True North Website: https://www.mstrtruenorth.com

X: https://x.com/MSTRTrueNorth

🛒 MERCH: https://thehodlshop.com/collections/true-north

Youtube: @MSTRTrueNorth

MSTR Links: https://www.mstr-tracker.com https://saylortracker.com/ https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/MSTR/ * https://www.strategy.com/

Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.

• True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov.

Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.

Up To Par | True North Podcast | Ep. 52

True North Podcast

Up To Par | True North Podcast | Ep. 52