26 Mar 2026
1h 16m

320 · Stefan Stadie - Sports Betting and Prediction Markets - Through a Trading Lens

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Chat With Traders

This episode explores the convergence of financial acumen and sports trading through the experiences of Stefan Stadie, a professional sports trader at Kiro Sports and active equities trader. Stadie details his transition from oil and gas to full-time trading, emphasizing the importance of risk management and discipline. The conversation highlights his arbitrage strategies in sports betting, exploiting pricing discrepancies across different platforms, and his current role in market making. Stadie also contrasts the inefficiencies in sports markets with the more refined equities markets, noting the impact of emotional bettors on pricing. He advises new entrants to start small, track results, and be wary of unregulated platforms like PolyMarket due to the potential for insider trading.

Outlines

Part 1: Introduction, Host Announcement

Part 2: Guest Background, Early Trading

Part 3: Sports Betting, Arbitrage Strategies

Part 4: Prediction Markets, Market Making

Part 5: Market Dynamics, Risks, Comparisons

Part 6: Psychology, Future Outlook

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