YouTube19 Mar 2026

How War in Iran Will Squeeze America's Farmers Even Further | Odd Lots

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Bloomberg Podcasts

The Odd Lots podcast explores the economic pressures facing American farmers, particularly the rising costs of land and fertilizer. Jeff Kazin and Mike Rohlfsen from Agris Academy, discuss how land values, driven by investor interest and federal crop insurance subsidies, have inflated to levels unsustainable by cash flow alone. This squeeze is exacerbated by trade dynamics, where China leverages US soybean purchases to keep Brazilian prices competitive, incentivizing foreign investment in alternative agricultural markets. Despite these challenges, American farmers have largely sustained themselves through significant productivity gains, though they remain vulnerable to oligopolistic supplier environments and policy uncertainties. The guests advise farmers to adopt disciplined risk management strategies and to capitalize on opportunities to hedge future crops amidst volatile market conditions.

Outlines

Part 1: Introduction, Context

Part 2: Economic Factors, Land, Costs

Part 3: Policy, Trade, Labor

Part 4: Operations, Storage, Risk

Part 5: Outlook, Strategy

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