YouTube14 Feb 2026
14m

用華爾街風控算政治命運:貝葉斯模型+預測市場資金,X拆解「習能否連任」六大情景(健康、政變、經濟、黑天鵝…)。結論震撼:連任中位約?%,但20個月內權力變局仍近X成。

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用華爾街風控算政治命運:貝葉斯模型+預測市場資金,X拆解「習能否連任」六大情景(健康、政變、經濟、黑天鵝…)。結論震撼:連任中位約?%,但20個月內權力變局仍近X成。