12 Feb 2026
23m

E303: What Blackjack Taught Me About Investing w/Ari Levy

Podcast cover

How I Invest with David Weisburd

The podcast explores the investment strategies of Ari Levy, focusing on his early interest in probability through sports statistics and blackjack, which evolved into a career in public investing. Levy discusses applying principles from card counting, like the Kelly criterion, to stock market risk assessment, while acknowledging the market's "random walk" nature. He highlights the inefficiencies in pricing within small-cap companies due to less analyst coverage and regulatory burdens, noting the impact of passive funds on market dynamics. Levy also details his firm's activist approach, targeting undervalued companies for potential private market sales, using Quip Home Medical as a current example. He emphasizes the importance of adapting to technological changes to avoid value traps, advocating for a blend of value investing with a focus on return on invested capital.

Outlines

Part 1: Background, Probability, Risk

Part 2: Market Inefficiency, Small-Caps

Part 3: Activist Investing, Arbitrage

Part 4: Future Outlook, Strategy

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