YouTube10 Feb 2026

Taiwan’s Strategic Clarity Amid Global Upheaval

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Center for Strategic & International Studies

The podcast explores the escalating tensions surrounding Taiwan, focusing on China's military capabilities and intentions, as well as the roles of the U.S. and other regional players. I-Chung Lai, President of the Prospect Foundation in Taipei, assesses the PLA's growing ability to impose a blockade, while noting the significant resources required for a full quarantine operation. Lai suggests that while an invasion before 2027 is unlikely, the risk of a blockade is real, with potentially devastating global economic consequences due to Taiwan's dominance in semiconductor production. The discussion also covers the implications of leadership purges within the PLA and the ambiguous signals from Washington, as well as the critical importance of cooperation with Japan, Australia, and other allies in deterring Chinese aggression.

Outlines

Part 1: Background, Personal History

Part 2: Military Capabilities, Defense Strategy

Part 3: Political Intentions, Internal Dynamics

Part 4: International Relations, Regional Security

Part 5: Conclusion, Strategic Outlook

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