Day 1,433.

Today, amid increased Russian military pressure in the Donbas, and as Ukraine faces what the NATO Secretary General calls its “harshest winter for a decade”, we bring you the latest from the Ukraine peace talks, where the United States is understood to be increasing pressure on President Zelensky’s government to concede territory to Russia before Washington grants any security guarantees. But is Moscow’s position under Vladimir Putin softer than it appears, as some allege? Then we discuss civilian resilience in Ukraine with an expert from Harvard University.

Contributors

Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.

Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor of Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

With thanks to Dr Emma Mateo (Harvard University’s Ukrainian Research Institute). @emm_mateo on X.

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Each week, Dom Nicholls and Francis Dearnley answer your questions, provide recommended reading, and give exclusive analysis and behind-the-scenes insights – plus maps of the frontlines and diagrams of weapons to complement our daily reporting. It’s free for everyone, including non-subscribers.

CONTENT REFERENCED:

Learn more about Harvard’s Ukrainian Research Institute’s ‘Solidarity Within and Beyond Ukraine Conference this Friday and Saturday:

https://www.huri.harvard.edu/tcup-conference

France opposes EU plan to buy British Storm Shadows for Ukraine (The Telegraph):

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/01/26/france-opposes-eu-plan-to-buy-british-storm-shadows-ukraine/

Exclusive: Russian negotiators soften hardline stance in private, US officials say. Ukrainians urge caution (Kyiv Independent):

https://kyivindependent.com/kremlin-negotiators-drop-hardline-stance-behind-closed-doors-us-official-reveals

US links security guarantees for Ukraine to peace deal ceding territory (Financial Times):

https://www.ft.com/content/8ca0d4fd-fdfd-4aa3-a3a2-90be00d55b9d

NATO boss Rutte slaps down calls for European army prompted by Trump fears (Reuters):

Commission approves second wave of SAFE defence funding for eight Member States (EU):

https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_26_211

‘Bread and War: A Ukrainian Story of Food, Bravery and Hope’ by Felicity Spector:

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Bread-War-Ukrainian-Story-Bravery/dp/1914613783

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Putin's negotiators ‘soften hardline stance in private’ & Trump links security guarantees to Zelensky ceding territory

Ukraine: The Latest

Putin's negotiators ‘soften hardline stance in private’ & Trump links security guarantees to Zelensky ceding territory