13 Jan 2026
19m

E281:The Tsunami of Pain Facing Venture Capital

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How I Invest with David Weisburd

The podcast explores the challenges and opportunities within the venture capital landscape, particularly for hard tech startups navigating the "Death Valley" phase. It highlights the differences in revenue generation between software and hardware companies, noting the longer timelines and step-function revenue curves typical of hardware businesses. The guest introduces a fund focused on acquiring undervalued companies with strong R&D, proven products, and defensible IP, aiming to drive them to profitability by narrowing their focus and leveraging existing management teams. Data points from Carta are presented to illustrate a coming "tsunami" in venture, with a significant percentage of Series A companies struggling to raise Series B funding due to decreased capital availability. The ultimate goal of the fund is to emulate Constellation Software by acquiring and scaling businesses in the physical world.

Outlines

Part 1: Investment Philosophy, Hardware vs. Software

Part 2: Hard Tech Challenges, Market Tsunami

Part 3: Roke’s Strategy, Acquisition Model

Part 4: Future Vision, Scaling

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