08 Jan 2026
1h 8m

ALERT: Liquidity Has Peaked & That Means Lower Stock Prices Ahead | Michael Howell

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Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Michael Howell, founder and CEO of Global Liquidity Index, joins Adam Taggart to discuss the global liquidity cycle and its implications for financial markets in 2026. Howell anticipates a challenging year, noting that the liquidity cycle peaked around Q4 2025, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to ease repo market tensions. He highlights a divergence between the U.S. and Chinese liquidity cycles, with the U.S. cycle peaking while China's may be bottoming out. Howell suggests a shift from Fed QE to Treasury QE, directing liquidity into the real economy rather than financial markets. He forecasts a potential downturn lasting 30-35 months, advising investors to consider commodities and be cautious about equities and cryptocurrencies.

Outlines

Part 1: Market Forecasts, Liquidity Shifts

Part 2: Risk Assessment, Market Cycles

Part 3: Asset Allocation, Inflation Hedges

Part 4: Fixed Income, Gold Strategies

Part 5: Global Debt, China, Stablecoins

Part 6: Summary, Future Outlook

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