17 Dec 2025
1h 18m

All-Time Highs Should Feel Better Than This

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Animal Spirits Podcast

Michael and Ben discuss the shifting market narratives of 2025, from deregulation hopes to AI anxieties, noting the surprising resilience of the stock market despite struggles in big tech. They highlight the outperformance of European financials and international stocks, and debate whether the current market conditions constitute a bubble, referencing Howard Marks' balanced perspective. The conversation touches on retail investors rotating away from mega-cap tech, the health of cyclical sectors, and the potential for a catch-up trade in AI-disrupted companies. They analyze the labor market's deterioration, the consumer's state, and the impact of inflation, before transitioning to media recommendations, including the new Knives Out movie, and a discussion about leasing versus buying cars.

Outlines

Part 1: Market Sentiment and Performance

Part 2: Bubble Concerns and Investor Behavior

Part 3: Economic Indicators and Consumer Health

Part 4: AI and Technology

Part 5: Housing and Private Markets

Part 6: Media and Entertainment

Part 7: Personal Finance and Recommendations

Part 8: Closing Remarks

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