10 Dec 2025
1h 33m

“Mother All Crises” | Luke Gromen on America’s Choice Between AI Dominance and Real Value of Treasury Market

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Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack Farley interviews Luke Gromen about the complex interplay between US economic policy, reshoring efforts, and global power dynamics. Gromen argues that the US faces a difficult choice between maintaining the real value of its bond market and competing with China in the AI race, suggesting that reshoring and industrial revitalization will likely necessitate a devaluation of the dollar and a shift towards gold as a reserve asset. He explores the potential consequences of this shift, including inflation, financial repression, and the restructuring of global capital flows, while also discussing investment strategies involving agricultural commodities, infrastructure, and semiconductors in light of these macroeconomic trends. Gromen expresses concerns about the potential for deflationary pressures and a coming economic crisis, driven by factors such as rising real capital costs, AI-induced job losses, and the fragility of the US financial system. He also shares a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, citing technical breakdowns, quantum computing risks, and shifts in market sentiment.

Outlines

Part 1: AI, Reshoring, and the Dollar Dilemma

Part 2: AI Crisis, Infrastructure, and Real Capital Costs

Part 3: Gold, Bitcoin, and Market Outlook

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