China’s gas market has seen robust demand growth, matched with domestic production growth and rising Russian pipeline flows, leading to our conclusion that LNG demand will peak in 2032. However this doesn’t diminish China’s role in the global LNG market. With extensive regasification infrastructure, rising storage capacity, a diverse LNG contract portfolio, and multiple supply sources, China is positioned to potentially transition from a pure LNG importer to a global trader, gaining greater flexibility and optionality.

Speakers:

Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research

Otar Dgebuadze, Natural Gas Research

This podcast was recorded on October 31, 2025.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5110171-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Global Commodities: China’s LNG demand to peak in early 2030s

At Any Rate

Global Commodities: China’s LNG demand to peak in early 2030s