TLDR: AI-2027's specific predictions for August 2025 appear to have happened in September of 2025. The predictions were accurate, if a tad late, but they are late by weeks, not months.

Reading AI-2027 was the first thing that viscerally conveyed to me how urgent and dangerous advances in AI technology might be over the next few years. Six months after AI-2027's release, I decided to check in and see how the predictions are holding up so far, what seems like is happening faster than expected, and what seems like is happening slower than expected. I'll just go through the specific claims that seem evaluable in order.

The world sees its first glimpse of AI agents.

Advertisements for computer-using agents emphasize the term “personal assistant”: you can prompt them with tasks like “order me a burrito on DoorDash” or “open my budget spreadsheet and sum this month's expenses.” [...]

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First published:
October 2nd, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hmZHPE4ZJvEc3khgQ/checking-in-on-ai-2027

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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Images from the article:

Bar graph showing training compute requirements across GPT-1 through GPT-5 models.

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“Checking in on AI-2027” by Baybar

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“Checking in on AI-2027” by Baybar