25 Aug 2025
4m

How Stocks Could React to a Fed Pivot

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Thoughts on the Market

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, discusses the Federal Reserve's recent policy signaling and its implications for the stock market. He notes the market's anticipation of a rate cut in September and the Fed's shift to a 2% inflation target at all times, rather than averaging. While acknowledging risks such as the Fed not cutting rates or a bond market sell-off, Wilson maintains a bullish outlook for the next 12 months, citing strong earnings revisions and the forward-looking nature of equity markets compared to the Fed's backward-looking data. He concludes that any market dips this fall are likely buying opportunities for long-term investors.

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