06 Aug 2025
24m

China Conversations: Does the Hong Kong rally have legs?

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Beyond Markets

In this Julius Baer podcast, Richard Tang interviews Hong Hao about the Chinese stock market, particularly in Hong Kong, and its surprising strength despite a perceived weak Chinese economy. Hao suggests that short-term trading isn't always tied to fundamentals and anticipates potential policy interventions. They discuss the divergence in performance between H shares and A shares, attributing it to investor behavior and sector-specific opportunities. The conversation shifts to new consumption trends, highlighting the rise of domestic brands and changing consumer habits, and then contrasts the current "anti-involution" efforts with previous supply-side reforms, noting the more significant challenges now. Finally, they touch on US-China trade relations, with Hao expressing optimism about China's negotiation position and expecting short-term market volatility but an overall upward trend.

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