This is a link post.

Note: The linked site is a personal project, and all views expressed here are my own.

TL;DR

I created an interactive flowchart about various scenarios how the future of AI might play out.
By setting various conditional probabilities you can see charts of what the resulting estimated probabilities for good, ambiguous, and existentially bad outcomes are.
Use the site as a conversation starter and tool for reflection. You can share your results either as images of the resulting outcome charts, or just by sharing your personalized URL (which contains your estimates).
Feel free to clone, expand, and modify the site. I'd love to see how other people would structure their flowchart!

Additional context (copied from the website itself)

Background

Many experts and CEOs of the leading AI companies think advanced AI could pose catastrophic, or even existential risks to humanity.

I think we should [...]

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First published:
November 27th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5iyvopk74zkqBuqzk/map-of-ai-futures-an-interactive-flowchart-1

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“‘Map of AI Futures’ - An interactive flowchart” by swante

LessWrong (30+ Karma)