The longtermist funding ecosystem needs certain functions to exist at a reasonable scale. I argue LTFF should continue to be funded because we're currently one of the only organizations comprehensively serving these functions. Specifically, we:

Fund early-stage technical AI safety researchers working outside major labs
Help talented people transition into existential risk work
Provide independent funding voices to balance out AI company influence
Move quickly to fund promising work in emerging areas, including "weirder" but potentially high-impact projects

Getting these functions right takes meaningful resources - well over $1M annually. This figure isn't arbitrary: $1M funds roughly 10 person-years of work, split between supporting career transitions and independent research. Given what we're trying to achieve - from maintaining independent AI safety voices to seeding new fields like x-risk focused information security - this is arguably a minimum viable scale.

While I'm excited to see some of these functions [...]

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Outline:

(01:55) Core Argument

(04:11) Key Functions Currently (Almost) Unique to LTFF

(04:17) Technical AI Safety Funding

(04:40) Why arent other funders investing in GCR-focused technical AI Safety?

(06:26) Career Transitions and Early Researcher Funding

(07:44) Why arent other groups investing in improving career transitions in existential risk reduction?

(09:05) Going Forwards

(10:01) Providing (Some) Counterbalance to AI Companies on AI Safety

(11:39) Going Forwards

(12:21) Funding New Project Areas and Approaches

(13:18) Going Forwards

(14:01) Broader Funding Case

(14:05) Why Current Funding Levels Matter

(16:02) Going Forwards

(17:36) Conclusion

(18:40) Appendix: LTFFs Institutional Features

(18:57) Transparency and Communication

(19:40) Operational Features

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First published:
November 18th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EkmEozr4Y5KxeJtp7/a-qualitative-case-for-ltff-filling-critical-ecosystem-gaps

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“A Qualitative Case for LTFF: Filling Critical Ecosystem Gaps” by Linch

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“A Qualitative Case for LTFF: Filling Critical Ecosystem Gaps” by Linch