In a campaign full of twists and turns, one thing has stayed surprisingly steady: the polls. On this final pre-election episode of Swamp Notes, the FT’s senior data journalist Oliver Roeder and deputy Washington bureau chief Lauren Fedor explain why the polls have barely budged this cycle, and how Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are motivating their voters in the race’s final days.

Mentioned in this podcast:

One week to go: what is the state of the US presidential race?

What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election

Trump rally’s Puerto Rico slur lands with a thud in Pennsylvania

‘Behind the Money’: US election betting is on a roll

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Swamp Notes is produced by Ethan Plotkin, Sonja Hutson, Lauren Fedor and Marc Filippino. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. Special thanks to Pierre Nicholson.

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Swamp Notes: Why the polls aren’t budging

FT News Briefing

Swamp Notes: Why the polls aren’t budging