ACX recently posted about the Rootclaim Covid origins debate, coming out in favor of zoonosis. Did the post change the minds of those who read it, or not? Did it change their judgment in favor of zoonosis (as was probably the goal of the post), or conversely did it make them think Lab Leak was more likely (as the "Don't debate conspiracy theorists" theory claims)?

I analyzed the ACX survey to find out, by comparing responses before and after the post came out. The ACX survey asked readers whether they think the origin of Covid is more likely natural or Lab Leak. The ACX survey went out March 26th and was open until about April 10th. The Covid origins post came out March 28th, and the highlights on April 9th. So we can compare people who responded before the origins post came out to those who responded after[1]. We [...]

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Outline:

(01:34) Analysis

(04:22) Conclusion

The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

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First published:
May 1st, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Na4t6QcpQij2paJQM/acx-covid-origins-post-convinced-readers

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“ACX Covid Origins Post convinced readers” by ErnestScribbler

LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“ACX Covid Origins Post convinced readers” by ErnestScribbler