A bloke called Roman Gofman could be the key to all this.

Gofman is the incoming Director of Mossad.

If you believe the story about the war, Netanyahu got the intel that the heavyweights in Iran would all be in the same room on that fateful Saturday. So, if there was ever a time to strike this was it.

Netanyahu convinced Trump.

Netanyahu was advised by Gofman, who also believed that if you hit them hard they would fall over, and quickly, and regime change would be complete.

They were all wrong and badly so. That’s why in the initial video Trump told the people of Iran the country would be theirs to take.

It clearly isn't.

You can ask the question, I guess, if Gofman was that wrong on Iran, is he still the bloke to run Mossad?

If they didn’t see the regime not falling over, they also didn’t see the Strait of Hormuz becoming the cluster it has.

The IMF report yesterday laid bare just how globally significant this excursion has become and how much pressure goes back onto the shoulders of Trump, who will singularly be held responsible for a global recession if a deal isn't cut.

Talks look promising and I'm convinced a deal will be done. What sort of deal? Who knows.

Israel, who really should be held as responsible as Trump but won't be, will hold direct talks with Lebanon.

In positive news it seems the country is trying to disassociate themselves from Hezbollah. That may well become a thing, which if you dovetail the Iran/America deal, and that involves no more sponsorship of proxies, could it be that globally Hezbollah are toast along with the Houthis and maybe even Hamas?

Scott Bessent, who appears from the more normal part of the White House, was rolled out yesterday to remind us of the big picture. This war, the talks, the IMF report and the mess is but a moment in time that will vanish if Iran gets stripped of the ability to blow the planet up.

Which brings us back to the original question and intent: was getting nuclear out of Iran a good idea and would it be worth it?

I still think as a theory, yes, and a lot of the world would agree.

But that hasn’t happened yet and the brains that’s started it —Gofman, Netanyahu, and Trump— don't have the same international standing as they did six weeks ago.

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Mike's Minute: The key player in this war

The Mike Hosking Breakfast