Niall Ferguson, a historian, draws parallels between the current geopolitical landscape and Cold War Two, highlighting the rivalry between the US and China. He argues that unlike the previous Cold War, the economic interdependence and the emergence of AI make this era more dangerous. Ferguson dismisses the notion of a civil war in the US, citing the fractal nature of polarization within families and communities. While acknowledging the risks of competition escalating into violence, he views competition positively, particularly in sectors like AI and electric vehicles, as it drives innovation. He cautions against underestimating geological risks, suggesting a major earthquake or volcanic eruption could be a black swan event. Despite geopolitical concerns, Ferguson expresses optimism about individual empowerment through access to knowledge and technology.
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