The podcast explores why empires rise and fall, challenging traditional metrics like population and resources. It introduces Ibn Khaldun's concept of "Abasaya" (cohesion) and proposes energy, openness, and cohesion as key metrics for societal dynamism. The discussion uses historical examples such as the Qing Dynasty, Greek city-states, the Aztecs, and Sumerians to illustrate how marginalized groups with high energy, openness, and cohesion often conquer wealthier, stagnant societies. Game Theory is employed to analyze the changing motivations and strategies of nations, from cooperation to elite overproduction and factional struggles involving secret societies. The podcast concludes with predictions about future empires, suggesting Germany, Japan, and Israel may rise due to their historical experiences and current societal characteristics.
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