1081: Running Back Prospects Who Produced Like Studs

The podcast episode analyzes college production metrics for running backs entering the NFL draft, aiming to identify potential NFL "studs." It uses the ZAP model, which focuses on share-related production metrics adjusted for age and program strength, to predict a player's best two-season average in PPR points per game across their first three years in the league. The host examines prorated reception share, adjusted yards per team play, and adjusted receiving yards per team pass attempt, comparing this year's combine invitees to a historical "stud" sample. While the host finds that Emmett Johnson out of Nebraska exceeds the NFL stud sample across all three production metrics, he also points out red flags for players like Jadarian Price, Katron Allen, and Seth McGowan based on their college stats.