Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"

Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, discusses the progress and future of AI with Dwarkesh. Amodei anticipates AGI within a few years, driven by scaling compute and improved algorithms, but tempers expectations with the realities of economic diffusion. He predicts AI will write 90-100% of code soon, but acknowledges closing the loop in software engineering requires broader system integration. Amodei also touches on AI safety, emphasizing transparency and targeted regulations to address bioterrorism and autonomy risks, while advocating for open access to AI's benefits, particularly in developing nations. He expresses hope that AI might inherently promote freedom, challenging authoritarian structures, though acknowledges the need for international cooperation to manage AI's impact.