09 Feb 2026
49m

Consumer VibeCession & Private Credit Risk with Lakshmi Ganapathi | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 45

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The Real Eisman Playbook

The discussion centers on the precarious state of the U.S. consumer, commercial real estate challenges, and the Yen Carry Trade. Lakshmi Ganapathi from Unicus Research, specializing in forensic analysis, argues that despite seemingly stable credit statistics, many consumers are silently struggling due to rising "invisible costs" like car repairs and insurance, leading to a "vibesession" where sentiment doesn't match the data. She highlights the increasing use of Buy Now Pay Later schemes as a temporary fix and points to the asset-backed securities market as an early indicator of deteriorating loan quality, particularly in auto loans. Additionally, they explore the complexities of the Yen Carry Trade and potential risks associated with its unwinding, as well as concerns about private credit infiltrating retirement accounts with limited transparency.

Outlines

Part 1: Consumer Health, Sentiment

Part 2: Auto Markets, Credit Deterioration

Part 3: Real Estate, Global Finance

Part 4: Shorting Strategies, Sector Risks

Part 5: Private Credit, Outlook

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