The podcast explores the potential collapse of the 18-year housing cycle in 2026, drawing on economist Fred Harrison's predictions, who accurately forecasted previous financial crises. It highlights warning signs already appearing in the housing market, such as declining home prices in several metro areas, rising inventory, and brutal affordability numbers, including a record high median age for first-time homebuyers. Counterarguments against a crash are presented, emphasizing a persistent housing supply shortage, the financial strength of current homeowners, and favorable demographic trends with Gen Z and Gen Alpha entering the market. The analysis suggests monitoring months of supply in local markets to gauge the cycle's progression and advises buyers, sellers, and investors to strategically position themselves based on whether Harrison's predictions materialize or prices continue to rise.
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