In this podcast episode, the speaker discusses the increasing frequency of civil wars and the factors that contribute to their occurrence. The importance of addressing the risk factors for civil wars, such as the presence of anocracies and identity-based political parties, is highlighted. The speaker also emphasizes that it is not necessarily the poorest or most oppressed people who start civil wars, but rather groups that were once politically dominant but are in decline. Demographic change, particularly the transition from a majority white population to a majority non-white population, is also identified as a factor contributing to instability. The rule of law, equal access to voting, and the role of the business community in promoting democracy are discussed as crucial for preventing civil wars. Additionally, regulating social media algorithms without infringing on free speech rights is suggested as a way to reduce the spread of divisive content.
Anti-commonsence
The statement that demographic change, specifically the transition from a majority white population to a majority non-white population, contributes to instability may be seen as controversial and could potentially be perceived as anti-commonsense.
