53. What’s the Secret to Making a Great Prediction?

In this episode of "No Stupid Questions," Stephen Dubner and Angela Duckworth explore the art of prediction, drawing insights from experts like Phil Tetlock and Daniel Kahneman. They discuss the challenges of forecasting, the role of confidence and emotion, and the importance of considering outside views and diverse information sources. They also tackle the question of why successful people still have bad days, offering advice on how to reframe negative experiences, practice self-forgiveness, and approach each new day with optimism.